Earnings - 7th October 2008

7:50PM MetLife preannounces Q3 EPS and revs below consensus; co withdraws its 2008 earnings; co announces 75 mln common stock offering (MET) 36.87 -7.45 : Co issues downside guidance; co sees Q3 operating EPS of $0.83-0.93 vs $1.48 First Call consensus, sees revs of $1.15 bln vs $1.38 bln consensus. The co's range of operating earnings for Q3 of 2008 primarily reflects: A decline in variable investment income, which is expected to be below plan by ~$117 mln, net of income tax, or $0.16 per diluted common share. The impact of poor equity markets on fee revenue in the company's variable annuity business and a related adjustment to deferred acquisition costs; An accrual of ~$48 mln, net of income tax, or $0.07 per diluted common share, related to the first phase of the company's previously-announced Operational Excellence initiative. The previously-announced decision to commute three excess insurance policies for asbestos-related claims, which amounts to a reduction in operating earnings available to common shareholders of ~$23 mln, net of income tax, or $0.03 per diluted common share. Co says, "MET is a well capitalized co with a strong balance sheet and financial strength ratings that are among the highest in the industry. With our earlier announcement to offer 75 mln shares of common stock to the public, we are taking an additional, proactive step to further assure all of our stakeholders that MetLife is financially sound and well positioned to meet our future obligations." Seperately, co announced plans to offer 75 mln shares of common stock to the public. The offering will supplement the co's strong capital position and will be used for both general corporate purposes and potential strategic initiatives. The underwriters will have a 30-day option to purchase shares representing an additional 15% of the offering amount from MetLife, Inc. to cover over-allotments, if any. The offering is expected to price on Wednesday, October 8, 2008.

5:04PM China Organic Agriculture guides Q3 EPS and revs (CNOA) 0.22 +0.05 : Co sees Q3 EPS of $0.14-0.16 on revs of $34-36 mln. Co says, "Revenue of over $30 mln in a single quarter will be a record for CNOA. With a majority of these sales coming from our Ankang subsidiary, we can be assured our business model's focus on trading opportunities will provide strong growth for shareholders. As discussed in previous reports, this large jump in revenue for the quarter compared to the first two quarters of 2008 is largely due to the cyclical nature of rice sales. Since harvest takes place in Q3 and Q4 of the year, sales tend to be higher in these quarters. Nevertheless, CNOA's recent sales are still considered quite large, compared with last year's third quarter results of $22.4 mln."

4:11PM Team beats by $0.01, revs in-line, reaffirms FY09 prior guidance (TISI) 27.39 -1.30 : Co reports Q1 (Aug) earnings of $0.25 per share, a penny better than the First Call consensus. Revenue rose 19% yr/yr to $123.3 mln vs consensus of $123.3 mln (2 ests). Co says it is off to a great start to the 2009 fiscal year and it re-affirms its prior EPS guidance of $1.45-1.60 vs $1.55 consensus.

4:10PM YUM! Brands beats by $0.04, beats on revs; reaffirms FY08 EPS guidance (YUM) 27.50 -0.81 : Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $0.58 per share, $0.04 better than the First Call consensus of $0.54; revenues rose 10.6% year/year to $2.84 bln vs the $2.78 bln consensus. Co reaffirms guidance for FY08, sees EPS of $1.89 vs. $1.90 consensus. Co says the U.S. business delivered system same-store-sales growth of 3%. Company same-store-sales growth of 4% was led by strong performance at Taco Bell and Pizza Hut, partially offset by a 4% decline at KFC. The co says international development is on track to deliver at least 1,400 new units, exceeding the 2007 record of 1,358 (YRI 852, China Division 506) and their most recent guidance of 1,300. Co says "...We are confidently reaffirming our full-year forecast for 12% EPS growth based on our year-to-date 17% EPS growth and our fourth-quarter outlook for both strong global system-sales growth and double-digit operating profit growth..."

4:06PM ScanSource sees Q1 revs below consensus (SCSC) 23.27 -0.72 : Co issues downside guidance; co sees Q1 revs of $535-543 vs $546.7 mln consensus.

4:03PM Unica lowers Q4 EPS and revs guidance (UNCA) 6.80 -0.26 : Co sees Q4 EPS of ~$0.01, down from previous non-GAAP guidance of $0.05-0.07, vs $0.06 First Call consensus; revs of ~$28 mln, down from $31.0-32.0 mln, vs $31.48 mln First Call consensus. "We are disappointed with the financial results we expect to report for the fourth quarter. The increasingly challenging macroeconomic environment had a negative impact on the length of sales cycles and secondarily on the timing of project implementations. "With the potential for current economic challenges to become more pronounced and/or take longer to improve, we believe it is prudent to target modest total revenue growth. At the same time, we expect continued strong growth in our subscription revenue and we are focused on expanding margins and driving positive cash flow in fiscal 2009. Long-term, there are a number of positive developments that make us optimistic about the company's strategic direction and future opportunity. For example, our subscription revenue growth remains very strong, we continue to win marquee customers and our pipeline of opportunities remains solid. Finally, we have a strong balance sheet to support the execution of our growth strategy and enhance shareholder value while the company weathers the short-term macroeconomic challenges."

9:04AM Safeway misses by $0.01, reports revs in-line; reaffirms FY08 EPS guidance (SWY) 21.77 : Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $0.46 per share, $0.01 worse than the First Call consensus of $0.47; revenues rose 3.9% year/year to $10.17 bln vs the $10.08 bln consensus. Co reaffirms guidance for FY08, sees EPS of $2.25-2.35 vs. $2.26 consensus. "During the third quarter we took action to provide our customers with better everyday values," said Steve Burd, Chairman, President and CEO. "As we begin the fourth quarter, our sales momentum is building, with identical-store sales (excluding fuel) currently above 1.5%, and we are continuing to reduce costs."

8:48AM Corning to reaffirm Q3 EPS of $0.43-0.45 ($0.44 First Call Consensus) at Conference (GLW) 13.95 : The co's Vice Chairman and Chief Financial Officer James Flaws will provide an update on the co's Display Technologies segment and Corning's outlook for the 2009 display glass market during the Maxim Group Growth Conference. Third-quarter glass volume shipments for the company's wholly owned business and Samsung Corning Precision Glass grew 2% sequentially, which was lower than expected. Flaws will explain that there was a more pronounced shift in glass demand to Corning's equity venture. "SCP's volume was up 12% in the third quarter, while volume at Corning's wholly owned business was down 10%, which was lower than expected," he will note. Despite the lower than expected volume at the company's wholly owned business, Corning still anticipates that its third-quarter earnings per share will be in line with the September revised guidance of $0.43 to $0.45, before special items. The company believes that inventory levels in the supply chain have declined, noting that Taiwanese panel makers reported improved panel shipments for August, while panel price declines have moderated. Flaws will note that Corning's glass pricing came in as expected in the third quarter and that the company currently intends to continue its pricing strategy in the fourth quarter... "Given this economic uncertainty, we are prepared to adjust our production capacity to match end market demand," Flaws will tell attendees.


8:20AM Advance Auto forecasts Q3 EPS estimate to be flat vs 3Q07 EPS of $0.57; First Call consensus is $0.66 (AAP) 34.37 : Co reports that revenue for its Q3 ended Oct 4, 2008 increased approx 2.6% driven by 124 net new stores and flat comparable store sales. The company had expected third quarter sales growth to decelerate vs the second quarter due to the absence of the economic stimulus payments checks issued by the Federal government. However, the challenging economic environment, volatility in the financial and credit markets and the impact of the hurricanes and related gas shortages in the Southeast further limited sales growth in Q3. The lower than anticipated sales growth will result in the company's earnings per share to be approx flat as compared to 3Q07 reported EPS of $0.57, vs First Call consensus of $0.66. In addition, the company believes the third quarter sales trends will continue through the balance of the fiscal year as customers further adjust to the challenging economic environment.

8:05AM ION Geophysical awarded multi-year, Marine Multi-Component processing contract (IO) 9.99 : Co announces that its GX Technology Imaging Solutions group has been awarded a multi-year seismic data processing contract by Mobil Producing Nigeria Unlimited, operator of the Nigeria National Petroleum Corporation Joint Venture. The contract, the largest data processing award in IO's history, specifies that GX Technology and its longstanding Nigerian partner -- Bulwark Services -- will provide advanced imaging services for a series of 2C and 4C seabed seismic surveys that will be acquired over the next several years over producing fields offshore Nigeria.

3:21AM F5 Networks lowers Q4 revenue guidance (FFIV) 21.50 : Co issues downside guidance for Q4 (Sep), sees Q4 (Sep) revs of $171.3 mln vs. $173.19 mln First Call consensus. Co expects to meet or exceed its GAAP and non-GAAP EPS targets for the quarter. John McAdam, F5 president and chief executive officer, said results for Q4 reflect further weakening in the financial vertical and a sharp slowdown in Europe during the last week of September, partially offset by a slight rebound in Japan and US Federal revenues and by strong demand for the company's new entry-level products. "Despite weakness in the global economy, demand for the BIG-IP 3600 in particular was much stronger than we initially anticipated," McAdam said. "During the month of September alone BIG-IP 3600 sales exceeded our initial forecast for the entire quarter, resulting in more orders than we could ship during the quarter."