
You can make your life or you can break it - its very important to choose the right options!! Disclaimer : You should do your own homework and you are responsible for your own decisions. This blog is means for me to share my viewpoint and for my record-keeping. Remember,Market operates on FEAR, HOPE & GREED!! Lessons from 2009- "Buy early when others are still negative, and sell early when other are still positive".
Sunday, November 15, 2009
AMZN - Cleared all walls ... So far...!

Sunday, October 25, 2009
AMZN - Hitting wall every which way!

AMZN is trading in $26 channels and is at the top of the latest $26 channel. Besides it is also at the top range of the bearish rising wedge resistance line and finally the forward PE is ~ 50. Could it still rise above this massive resistance wall? - just to trap some bulls like it trapped some bears earlier this year when the bears thought that AMZN is going to hell, even to single digits, only to trap them and shoot sky high since then!
EDIT: Monday 10:40AM - If the AMZN train continues to close 2-3 days positively, it may just go towards the higher end of the new $26 challenl starting from 119, i.e., it may test the $145 area before any weakness... I, for one, think that so much upward movement is unlikely given the overbought levels its sitting at right now... you never know for sure what this crazy stock will do though.. so, until then I am long Nov 120-115 put spread, got in at 124 this morning.. and I am ready to close it as soon as I see AMZN trading over today's high from this morning..
Thursday, October 22, 2009
Earnings - 22nd Oct 2009
6:34PM Bucyrus beats by $0.35, beats on revs (BUCY) 42.53 -0.05 : Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $1.21 per share, $0.35 better than the First Call consensus of $0.86; revenues rose 4.6% year/year to $675.8 mln vs the $623.4 mln consensus.
4:19PM Synaptics beats by $0.06, beats on revs (SYNA) 23.66 +0.93 : Reports Q1 (Sep) earnings of $0.48 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.06 better than the First Call consensus of $0.42; revenues rose 3.7% year/year to $119.6 mln vs the $116.4 mln consensus. Q3 gross margin of 40.4% vs. 40.6% street expectation. "We saw a sharp year-over-year increase in our mobile touchscreen business, where we are working with the top handset makers to broaden penetration of capacitive touchscreen phones around the world. Synaptics won a number of important new designs during the quarter, and design activity remains robust,"
4:18PM Western Digital beats by $0.31, beats on revs (WDC) 37.11 +1.25 : Reports Q1 (Sep) earnings of $1.25 per share, $0.31 better than the First Call consensus of $0.94; revenues rose 4.3% year/year to $2.2 bln vs the $2.06 bln consensus. WDC reports Q1 hard drive shipments of 44.6 mln compared to 40 mln in Q4. "In the September quarter, we leveraged our organization-wide agility to respond to unexpectedly robust demand and again generated strong financial results. As we enter the December quarter, demand remains strong and our product line-up, availability and cost profile position us to benefit from continuing growth opportunities."
4:18PM Chipotle Mexican Grill beats by $0.20, reports revs in-line (CMG) 87.77 +4.29 : Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $1.08 per share, $0.20 better than the First Call consensus of $0.88; revenues rose 13.8% year/year to $387.6 mln vs the $388.2 mln consensus. Full year comparable restaurant increases in the low single digits. For FY10, co sees flat comparable restaurant sales.
4:15PM Align Tech beats by $0.08, beats on revs; guides Q4 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus (ALGN) 15.38 +0.44 : Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $0.13 per share, $0.08 better than the First Call consensus of $0.05; revenues rose 5.5% year/year to $79.3 mln vs the $73.8 mln consensus. Co issues upside guidance for Q4, sees EPS of $0.08-$0.10 vs. $0.06 consensus; sees Q4 revs of $77.5-$81 mln vs. $76.58 mln consensus.
4:12PM Sunpower beats by $0.02, beats on revs; guides FY09 EPS in-line, revs above consensus (SPWRA) 33.30 +0.94 : Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $0.42 per share, $0.02 better than the First Call consensus of $0.40; revenues rose 56.4% year/year to $466 mln vs the $420.1 mln consensus. SPWRA reports gross margin 20.7% compared to 22.6% in Q2. Co issues mixed guidance for FY09, sees EPS of 1.15-1.25 vs. $1.21 consensus; tightens FY09 revs to $1.425-1.50 bln from $1.35-1.70 bln vs. $1.43 bln consensus.
4:08PM Deckers Outdoor beats by $0.34, reports revs in-line; guides Q4 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus (DECK) 91.74 +2.25 : Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $2.59 per share, $0.34 better than the First Call consensus of $2.25; revenues rose 15.8% year/year to $228.4 mln vs the $227.7 mln consensus. DECK raises guidance, sees Q4 EPS growth of 5%, up from prior guidance of -4% and vs -3.5% consensus; co sees revs growth of +4%, up from prior guidance to decrease slightly YoY and vs +0.3% consensus. Q4 (Dec) guidance equates to EPS of $4.25 vs. $3.90 consensus; sees Q4 (Dec) revs of $315.60 mln vs. $303.85 mln consensus. Deckers Outdoor guidance also assumes a gross profit margin of approximately 47.0%, compared to previous expectations of 47.5%. "In addition to exceeding expectations, our third quarter results highlight our efforts to further diversify our product lines, expand our share of the market, and control expenses. Our UGG brand sales continue to be led by our core boot category, with the performance of several new styles driving the strong start to the fall selling season. Our focus on broadening the depth of our collections has enabled us to increase shelf space and attract new consumers to the brand. At the same time, we had a positive response to our more technical line of closed toe, light hikers, which will help establish our Teva brand as a true year-round brand and provide important momentum for spring 2010. Our Simple brand is also experiencing solid sell-through as ecoSNEAKS continue to perform well at major accounts such as Nordstrom and Journeys. We are very pleased with our ability to successfully execute our business plan in what continues to be an uncertain economic environment. We remain focused on effectively managing our expenses and inventory levels and are moving forward excited about the many long-term domestic and international growth opportunities that lie ahead for the Company." UGG brand net sales for the third quarter increased 19.1% to $212.8 million compared to $178.7 million for the same period last year. The sales gain was primarily attributable to an increase in domestic and international shipments of fall product versus the same period a year ago. During the third quarter, the Company repurchased approximately 300,000 shares of its common stock under its stock repurchase program for a total of approximately $20.0 million."
4:06PM Amazon.com beats by $0.12, beats on revs; guides Q4 revs above consensus (AMZN) 93.45 +0.03 : Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $0.45 per share, $0.12 better than the First Call consensus of $0.33; revenues rose 27.8% year/year to $5.45 bln vs the $5.03 bln consensus. Co issues upside guidance for Q4, sees Q4 revs of $8.12-9.12 vs. $8.11 bln consensus. AMZN sees Q4 operating income of $300-425 mln vs $372 mln consensus. Co said, "Kindle has become the #1 bestselling item by both unit sales and dollars - not just in our electronics store but across all product categories on Amazon.com. It's also the most wished for and the most gifted. We are grateful for and energized by this customer response... Earlier this week we began shipping the latest generation Kindle. Its 3G wireless works in the U.S. and 100 countries, and we've just lowered its price to $259."
7:36AM ITT Educational beats by $0.03, beats on revs (ESI) 110.43 : Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $2.00 per share, $0.03 better than the First Call consensus of $1.97; revenues rose 33.5% year/year to $339.6 mln vs the $335.3 mln consensus.
7:35AM Celgene beats by $0.02, beats on revs (CELG) 54.58 : Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $0.56 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.02 better than the First Call consensus of $0.54; revenues rose 16.8% year/year to $692 mln vs the $671.2 mln consensus. Co reports Q3 sales of Revlimid $450 mln vs. $429 mln consensus; Vidaza $103 mln vs. $108 mln consensus, Thalomid $110 mln vs. $102 mln consensus.
7:13AM Laboratory Corp beats by $0.07, reports revs in-line; guides FY09 EPS above consensus (LH) 68.85 : Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $1.22 per share, $0.07 better thanthe First Call consensus of $1.15; revenues rose 4.4% year/year to $1.19 bln vs the $1.18 bln consensus. Co issues upside guidance for FY09, sees EPS of $4.84-4.89 vs. $4.81 consensus; the Company expects revenue growth of approximately 4%, consensus 4.57%.
6:46AM J. Crew raises Q3 guidance above consensus (JCG) 37.74 : Co issues upside guidance for Q3 (Oct), sees EPS of $0.54-0.59 vs. $0.36 First Call consensus, prior guidance $0.30-0.33. The Company's third quarter fiscal 2009 expectations reflect a high single digit increase in comparable store sales; a low single digit increase in Direct sales; and a gross profit margin increase of approximately 500 basis points as compared to the third quarter of fiscal 2008 which was 41.6% of revenues. This compares to the Company's previous guidance for the third quarter of fiscal 2009 of a mid-single digit decline in comparable store sales; a low to mid-single-digit decline in Direct sales; and a 100 basis point increase in gross profit margin.
6:36AM Dow Chemical beats by $0.14, beats on revs (DOW) 25.50 : Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $0.24 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.14 better than the First Call consensus of $0.10; revenues rose 6.4% year/year to $12.05 bln vs the $11.85 bln consensus. Co said, "The economic outlook for the rest of 2009 appears to be stabilizing withstrong growth in Asia Pacific, especially China, and other emerging geographies. The global economy is now on firmer footing, and, in our view, the United States economy is beginning a slow and tenuous recovery, with unemployment continuing to be a drag on consumer spending. Therefore, our 2009/2010 operating plans do not count on material improvements in market conditions, and we remain tightly focused on those factors we can control, such as costs, capital and cash flow management. Dow has already begun to benefit from the smooth integration of Rohm and Haas and the decisive actions we took to accelerate our restructuring efforts and cost synergies. We have also made significant improvements to our balance sheet, strengthening our financial structure and providing more flexibility in how we execute any further divestitures, which will be made on a timely and strategic basis."
6:33AM Alexion Pharma beats by $0.08, beats on revs; raises non-GAAP EPS guidance and Soliris net product sales guidance (ALXN) 44.13 : Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $0.29 per share, $0.08 better than the First Call consensus of $0.21; revenues rose 34.1% year/year to $102.6 mln vs the $98.3 mln consensus. Full-year 2009 financial guidance for non-GAAP diluted earnings per share is being revised upward, from the previously announced range of $1.01 to $1.06, to a higher range of $1.15 to $1.18, not comaparable to the GAAP consensus of $0.76. Alexion is revising upward its previously announced guidance for worldwide Soliris net product sales, from a previous range of $368 to $378 million, now to a higher range of $383 to $385 million for the full-year 2009.
6:10AM Check Point Sftwr beats by $0.03, beats on revs (CHKP) 30.10 : Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $0.52 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.03 better than the First Call consensus of $0.49; revenues rose 17.0% year/year to $233.6 mln vs the $230.7 mln consensus.
6:09AM Travelers beats by $0.30; raises FY09 EPS guidance (TRV) 48.02 : Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $1.61 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.30 better than the First Call consensus of $1.31. Co raises guidance for FY09, sees EPS of 5.30-5.50 vs. $5.28 consensus, up from previous guidance of $4.80-5.05. Book value for the quarter jumped 22% QoQ to $51.24 per share. The current quarter underwriting gain reflects a GAAP combined ratio, excluding net favorable prior year reserve development and catastrophe losses, of 92.5 percent, as compared to 91.8 percent in the prior year quarter. This increase of 0.7 points primarily resulted from reduced underwriting margins related to pricing and loss cost trends, higher non-catastrophe weather-related losses within Personal Insurance as well as the impact of the company's recently announced direct to consumer initiative. "These results were driven by underwriting profitability in each of our business segments and increased net investment income, as our non-fixed income portfolio yield improved to a positive level. "We were once again successful in achieving positive renewal rate changes across all of our business segments, although net written premiums were down modestly, largely attributable to declining economic activity in recent... With improved stability in the capital markets we deployed excess liquidity that we accumulated over the past several quarters. We repurchased $1 billion of common shares in the quarter in contrast to our past practice of reduced share repurchases during the catastrophe season. Given our strong earnings performance and cash position and more stable capital markets, we increased our regular quarterly dividend by 10 percent to $0.33 per share. In addition our Board of Directors has approved an additional $6.0 billion of common share repurchases."
6:08AM Potash beats by $0.01, beats on revs; guides Q4 EPS below consensus (POT)102.48 : Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $0.82 per share, $0.01 better than the First Call consensus of $0.81; revenues fell 64.1% year/year to $1.1 bln vs the $1.04 bln consensus. Co issues downside guidance for Q4, sees EPS of $0.65-0.85 vs. $1.18 consensus. N. American potash producer shipments improved from the previous quarter, but third-quarter volumes were still more than 50% below the same quarter in 2008 and year-to-date totals were nearly 70% lower than in the first nine months of last year. In July, India signed new contracts with global potash producers, which co believed would inspire buyer confidence in other markets. This failed to materialize, as potash buyers appeared to respond instead to their perception of market conditions and risks, including healthy producer inventories, lack of engagement by Chinese buyers and a late US harvest. Moreover, large inventory writedowns in nitrogen and phosphate taken by dealers over the past year limited the appetite for additional inventory risk. As a result, dealers and farmers continued to buy potash only on an as-needed basis, putting pressure on spot market pricing.In phosphate, US producer solid fertilizer domestic sales volumes moved closer to historical levels, while offshore volumes rose slightly as India continued to import significant quantities and shipments to Brazil increased in advance of its key planting season. In nitrogen, lower domestic natural gas costs allowed North American producers to be more competitive, contributing to a 24% decline in ammonia imports to the US compared to last year's third quarter. Lower winter wheat plantings and continued deferral by fertilizer buyers reduced urea demand and prices in the quarter. Co anticipates global potash demand in 2010 will approximate 50 million tonnes. Co now expects 2009 potash gross margin to fall within the range of $0.7-$0.9 billion and total shipments to be 3.0-3.2 million tonnes.With lower forecast potash volumes, POT now anticipates 2009 annual effective tax rate will be in the range of 10-12%, with the fourth quarter at approx 26-27%. Provincial mining and other taxes are forecast within a range of 3-4% of total potash gross margin in the year as a result of lower volumes and pricing.
3:10AM AU Optronics beats by $0.01, beats on revs (AUO) 9.82 : Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $0.26 per ADR, $0.01 better than the First Call consensus of $0.25; revenues rose 8.4% year/year to $3.5 bln vs the $3.21 bln consensus. Co reports operating margin of 6.8%.
Thursday, May 7, 2009
AMZN - Jeff Bezos is selling it - Should you?
Thursday, April 23, 2009
Earnings - 23rd April 2009 (2)
5:23PM Bucyrus beats by $0.08, beats on revs (BUCY) 18.74 -0.48 : Reports Q1 (Mar) earnings of $0.76 per share, $0.08 better than the First Call consensus of $0.68; revenues rose 17.2% year/year to $605.7 mln vs the $561.8 mln consensus. The increase in surface mining original equipment sales for Q1 of 2009 compared to Q1 of 2008 was primarily in electric mining shovels, offset by a decrease in sales from draglines. The increase in surface mining aftermarket parts and service sales was primarily in the Chilean and Australian markets. Moderate increases in sales to customers in Brazil and China offset a decline in Canada. The decrease in surface mining original equipment new orders in the first quarter of 2009 was primarily due to fewer electric mining shovel orders in the quarter
5:10PM Eastman Chem beats by $0.11, misses on revs; guides Q2 EPS in-line; guides FY09 EPS in-line (EMN) 33.11 +0.26 : Reports Q1 (Mar) earnings of $0.25 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.11 better than the First Call consensus of $0.14; revenues fell 34.6% year/year to $1.13 bln vs the $1.37 bln consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for Q2, sees EPS of $0.71 vs. $0.71 consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for FY09, sees EPS of $2.00-3.00 vs. $2.29 consensus. Co says, "While our capacity utilization improved on a sequential basis to slightly above 70% in Q1, the global economic environment remains challenging and visibility for demand continues to be limited. In response to the difficult economic conditions, we have taken a number of cost reduction actions that will positively impact our financial results throughout the year. Assuming improvement in demand increases our capacity utilization to between 75-80% for the remainder of the year."
4:38PM CF Industries beats by $0.52, beats on revs (CF) 66.91 +0.71 : Reports Q1 (Mar) earnings of $1.23 per share, excluding $0.55 in non-recurring items, $0.52 better than the First Call consensus of $0.71; revenues rose 2.0% year/year to $680.6 mln vs the $478.7 mln consensus. Volumes for ammonia and urea were up 77 percent and 13 percent respectively compared to Q1 2008, while volume for UAN was down 26%. Average selling prices for ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate (UAN) solutions were modestly higher than in first quarter 2008 but down significantly compared to Q4 of 2008. For ammonia, the average selling price was $527 per ton, up from $428 in Q1 2008 but down from $653 in 2008's Q4. For UAN, the average selling price was $298 per ton, up from $285 in Q1 2008 but down from $352 in Q4 2008. For urea, the average selling price was $365 per ton, down from $387 in the year-earlier quarter and also down from $480 in Q4 2007. Despite slow domestic demand for phosphate, the co increased segment sales volume by 12% in the quarter by increasing product movement into offshore markets. Average selling prices for phosphate products were modestly lower than in first quarter 2008 but significantly lower than Q4 of 2008. For DAP, the average price was $418 per ton, down from both the $493 per ton in the year-earlier quarter and $906 per ton in Q4 2008. For MAP, the average selling price was $466 per ton, compared to $467 per ton in Q1 2008 and $903 per ton in 2008's Q4. Co says, "Input costs for fertilizer production - including sulfur and ammonia for phosphate and natural gas for nitrogen - have continued to fall well below 2008 levels, with positive margin implications. In addition, we have seen promising levels of ammonia movement to date and, weather permitting, we anticipate a strong spring ammonia season."
4:32PM EZCORP beats by $0.01, reports revs in-line; guides Q3 EPS below consensus; guides Q4 (Sep) EPS in-line; guides FY09 EPS in-line (EZPW) 13.25 +0.00 : Reports Q2 (Mar) earnings of $0.37 per share, $0.01 better than the First Call consensus of $0.36; revenues rose 37.6% year/year to $156.3 mln vs the $156.1 mln consensus. Co issuesdownside guidance for Q3, sees EPS of $0.34 vs. $0.36 consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for Q4 (Sep), sees EPS of $0.46-$0.48 vs. $0.46 consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for FY09, sees EPS of $1.50-$1.52 vs. $1.52 consensus.
4:23PM Informatica beats by $0.03, reports revs in-line (INFA) 13.35 -0.55 : Reports Q1 (Mar) earnings of $0.18 per share, $0.03 better than the First Call consensus of $0.15; revenues rose 5.2% year/year to $109.1 mln vs the $109.8 mln consensus. "Our record first quarter results reaffirm our sound strategy and the Informatica team's operational discipline, particularly in light of the current global economic recession,"
4:21PM American Express beats by $0.20, misses on revs (AXP) 20.97 +1.54 : Reports Q1 (Mar) earnings of $0.32 per share, $0.20 better than the First Call consensus of $0.12; revenues fell 18.1% year/year to $5.93 bln vs the $6.45 bln consensus. Consolidated provisions totaled $1.8 bln compared to $1.2 bln in the year-ago period, primarily reflecting additions to the lending credit reserves in view of increased write-offs and past due loans. At the end of the quarter, the company's tier-one risk based capital ratio was 14.8%. Its tangible common equity to risk weighted assets of 10.1% was relatively high compared to most bank holding companies. The company's return on average equity (ROE) was 16.3%, down from 35.9% a year ago. Return on average common equity (ROCE), which excludes the impact of preferred shares and other adjustments, was 16.7 percent, down from 35.7 percent a year ago. "While we did see some recent improvement in early delinquency rates, overall credit indicators reflected rising unemployment levels and the broad-scale weakness in the economy. Based on current indicators, we expect second quarter U.S. lending write-off rates on a managed basis to rise between 200 and 250 basis points over the first quarter levels. We expect an additional increase of 50 basis points or less in the third quarter, before leveling off during the fourth quarter3. We continue to be very cautious about the economic outlook and plan to initiate additional reengineering efforts in the second quarter to help further reduce our operating costs. Our goal is to remain in a position to generate profits in excess of our dividend and be able to take competitive advantage of opportunities as the economy begins to rebound... Also, if permitted by our supervisors and if supported by the results of the stress assessment, we intend to repay the government investment of preferred shares and warrants."
4:18PM Western Digital beats by $0.18, beats on revs (WDC) 21.79 -0.32 : Reports Q3 (Mar) earnings of $0.30 per share, excluding $14 mln for in-process research and development related to the SiliconSystems acquisition, and $4 mln associated with the restructuring plan announced Dec 17th 2008, $0.18 better than the First Call consensus of $0.12; revenues fell 24.6% year/year to $1.59 bln vs the $1.48 bln consensus. The co generated $355 mln in cash from operations during the March quarter, ending with total cash and cash equivalents of $1.6 bln. "We are pleased with our financial performance in the March quarter, reflecting continued profitability and cash generation... We managed our market segment participation, product mix and costs to optimize our returns in a challenging environment. We have taken a series of actions to resize and restructure the business to remain profitable and cash flow positive at a $1.5 bln quarterly revenue level and the effects of these actions are already showing up in our results.
4:17PM Synaptics beats by $0.05, beats on revs; guides Q4 revs above consensus (SYNA) 31.72 +0.32 : Reports Q3 (Mar) earnings of $0.38 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.05 better than the First Call consensus of $0.33; revenues rose 27.6% year/year to $100.6 mln vs the $93.7 mln consensus. Co issues upside guidance for Q4 (Jun), sees Q4 revs of $105-115 mln vs. $102.39 mln consensus. "Revenue from PC applications exceeded our expectations, and we furthered our penetration of the mobile phone market, where the installed base of capacitive interface solutions continues to be very low..."
4:17PM Riverbed Technology beats by $0.01, beats on revs (RVBD) 14.59 -0.27 : Reports Q1 (Mar) earnings of $0.11 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.01 better than the First Call consensus of $0.10; revenues rose 21.2% year/year to $88.5 mln vs the $85.1 mln consensus.
4:17PM Cheesecake Factory beats by $0.07, beats on revs (CAKE) 14.92 -0.11 : Reports Q1 (Mar) earnings of $0.17 per share, $0.07 better than the First Call consensus of $0.10; revenues fell 0.3% year/year to $392.8 mln vs the $382.3 mln consensus.
4:14PM Sunpower misses by $0.19, misses on revs; guides FY09 EPS in-line, revs in-line (SPWRA) 25.93 -1.37 : Reports Q1 (Mar) earnings of $0.05 per share, $0.19 worse than the First Call consensus of $0.24; revenues fell 21.8% year/year to $214 mln vs the $269.1 mln consensus. Sunpower also revised its 2009 capital expenditure outlook from $350 mln - $400 mln to $250 mln - $300 mln . Sunpower also revised its 2009 capital expenditure outlook from $350-400 mln to $250-300 mln. Non-GAAP gross margins fell 506 bps to 24.3% from 29.9%. Co issues in-line guidance for FY09, sees EPS of 1.25-1.75 vs. $1.90 consensus.
4:11PM Amgen misses by $0.07, misses on revs; guides FY09 EPS in-line, revs in-line (AMGN) 46.82 +1.71 : Reports Q1 (Mar) earnings of $1.08 per share, $0.07 worse than the First Call consensus of $1.15; revenues fell 8.4% year/year to $3.31 bln vs the $3.63 bln consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for FY09, sees EPS of $4.55-4.75 vs. $4.62 consensus; lowers FY09 revs guidance to $14.4-14.8 vs. $14.9 bln consensus. Q1 Drug sales: Enbrel: $758 mln vs. $900 mln First Call Consensus; Neulasta and Neupogen: $1073 mln vs. $1188 mln First Call Consensus; Aranesp: $626 mln vs. $668 mln First Call Consensus; Epogen: $565 mln vs. $604 mln First Call Consensus.
4:10PM Juniper Networks reports EPS in-line, revs in-line (JNPR) : Reports Q1 (Mar) earnings of $0.17 per share, excluding non-recurring items, in-line with the First Call consensus of $0.17; revenues fell 7.1% year/year to $764.2 mln vs the $764.4 mln consensus. "The reduction in revenue was a reflection of the current macro economic environment and I am pleased with how quickly the team was able to implement cost reductions and deliver on our operating margin and EPS targets. In addition, we posted strong cash flows from operations and maintained a strong balance sheet. We will continue to take the actions needed in order to align our cost-structure with anticipated revenue levels."
4:10PM Netflix beats by $0.06, reports revs in-line; guides Q2 EPS in-line, revs in-line; guides FY09 EPS in-line, revs in-line (NFLX) 45.32 -0.56 : Reports Q1 (Mar) earnings of $0.37 per share, $0.06 better than the First Call consensus of $0.31; revenues rose 9.6% year/year to $394.1 mln vs the $390.9 mln consensus. Co issues in-line guidancefor Q2, sees EPS of $0.44-$0.53 vs. $0.47 consensus; sees Q2 revs of $403-$409 mln vs. $407.67 mln consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for FY09, sees EPS of $1.56-$1.72 vs. $1.60 consensus; sees FY09 revs of $1.63-$1.67 bln vs. $1.64 bln consensus. Gross subscriber additions for the quarter totaled 2,413,000, representing 30 percent year-over-year growth from 1,862,000 gross subscriber additions in the first quarter of 2008 and 16 percent quarter-over-quarter growth from 2,085,000 gross subscriber additions in the fourth quarter of 2008. Churn for the first quarter of 2009 was 4.2 percent compared to 3.9 percent for the first quarter of 2008 and 4.2 percent for the fourth quarter of 2008.
4:09PM Amazon.com beats by $0.10, beats on revs; guides Q2 revs in-line (AMZN)80.61 +1.41 : Reports Q1 (Mar) earnings of $0.41 per share, $0.10 better than the First Call consensus of $0.31; revenues rose 18.2% year/year to $4.89 bln vs the $4.76 bln consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for Q2, sees Q2 revs of $4.3-4.75 bln vs. $4.61 bln consensus. Operating income is expected to be between $110 mln and $190 mln, or decline between 49% and 12% compared with second quarter 2008 vs ~$172 mln consensus. The second quarter 2008 results include the $53 mln non-cash gain recognized on the sale of the Company's European DVD rental assets. CEO said, "We're grateful and excited that Kindle sales have exceeded our most optimistic expectations".
4:07PM Con-way misses by $0.20, misses on revs (CNW) 22.21 +0.00 : Reports Q1 (Mar) loss of $0.42 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.20 worse than the First Call consensus of ($0.22); revenues fell 19.8% year/year to $962.9 mln vs the $1.06 bln consensus. "Until we see some balance restored between supply and demand in the freight markets, and a more stable pricing environment, we must be cautious about our outlook for 2009,"
4:07PM Deckers Outdoor beats by $0.29, beats on revs; guides Q2 EPS below consensus, revs above consensus; guides FY09 EPS above consensus, revs in-line (DECK) 63.80 +0.38 : Reports Q1 (Mar) earnings of $0.93 per share, $0.29 better than the First Call consensus of $0.64; revenues rose 37.6% year/year to $134.2 mln vs the $119.3 mln consensus. Co issues mixed guidance for Q2, sees EPS of ($0.15)-($0.10) vs. $0.26 consensus; sees Q2 revs up 10% YoY, or roughlyl $114.25 mln vs. $103.86 mln consensus. Co issues mixed guidance for FY09, sees EPS of flat to up slightly over 2008 EPS of $7.27, vs. $7.09 consensus; sees FY09 revs up 7-9% YoY, or roughly $737.7-751.5 mln vs. $748.15 mln consensus. The Q2 guidance assumes a gross profit margin of approximately 39% and SG&A as a percentage of sales of approximately 43% due to the shift of approximately $2 million in expenses, consisting primarily of marketing costs, into the second quarter from the first quarter.A significant amount of the Company's operating expenses are fixed and spread evenly on an absolute dollar basis throughout each quarter, resulting in the greatest impact on earnings in the lowest volume sales quarter, which has historically been the second quarter... The Company's gross profit margin for the first quarter was 43.9% compared to 47.3% for the first quarter of last year. Gross profit margin decreased primarily due to the wholesale business growing at a higher rate than the eCommerce business for the first quarter of 2009 as well as higher levels of closeout sales than in the first quarter of 2008. First quarter 2008 margins were also positively impacted by a reduction in the estimate for sales returns.
4:05PM Burl Nrth Santa Fe beats by $0.18, misses on revs (BNI) 67.85 +1.42 : Reports Q1 (Mar) earnings of $1.14 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.18 better than the First Call consensus of $0.96. EPS excluded a $0.19 per share charge related to an unfavorable coal rate case decision and an $0.08 per share loss on unwinding interest rate hedges on debt no longer expected to be issued. revenues fell 19.6% year/year to $3.42 bln vs the $3.68 bln consensus. Operating expenses for the first quarter of 2009 were $2.76 billion compared with first-quarter 2008 operating expenses of $3.39 billion. The $631 million decrease in operating expenses was driven by strong cost controls, decreased unit volumes and lower fuel prices, which decreased fuel expenses by about $300 million.
Friday, January 30, 2009
Earnings - 29th Jan 2009
6:32PM Lindsay Corp sees Q2 revs below consensus; co expects total Q2 revs to be ~30% to 40% lower YoY (LNN) 31.83 -1.15 : Co issues downside guidance; co announced that it expects total revs in Q2 of FY09 to be ~30-40% YoY, which equates to ~$65.31-75.9 mln vs $94.0 mln First Call consensus. Co says the primary factor for the expected decline in revenue is the significantly lower global, incoming order rate for irrigation equipment. While infrastructure revenues are also expected to be lower in the quarter than the same prior-year period, the Company believes this is due primarily to the timing of project-oriented business. The Company will continue to take appropriate actions in response to economic conditions, including reductions in workforce and discretionary spending and other cost-saving measures. As of mid-January, the Company had reduced its global headcount by 25% since the start of fiscal 2009.
5:23PM Quality Systems beats by $0.01, beats on revs (QSII) 39.15 +0.01 : Reports Q3 (Dec) earnings of $0.46 per share, $0.01 better than the First Call consensus of $0.45; revenues rose 36.2% year/year to $65.5 mln vs the $62.9 mln consensus. For the quarter, the co's NextGen Healthcare Information Systems division posted record revenue of $61.5 mln, up 40% when compared with the same quarter in the prior year and record operating income of $22.8 mln, up 28% over third quarter last year.
4:35PM Informatica beats by $0.01, misses on revs (INFA) 13.01 -0.20 : Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.24 per share, $0.01 better than the First Call consensus of $0.23; revenues rose 9.2% year/year to $124.4 mln vs the $127.4 mln consensus.
4:16PM Amazon.com beats by $0.13, beats on revs; guides Q1 revs in-line (AMZN)50.00 -0.36 : Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.52 per share, $0.13 better than the First Call consensus of $0.39; revenues rose 18.2% year/year to $6.7 bln vs the $6.44 bln consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for Q1, sees Q1 revs of $4.525-4.925 bln vs. $4.57 bln consensus. Operating income for Q1 is expected to be between $125 million and $210 million, or between 37% decline and 6% growth compared with first quarter 2008. "We remain relentlessly focused on serving customers with low prices, great selection and free shipping offers, including Amazon Prime ... We're particularly grateful for the unusually strong demand for Kindle in the fourth quarter."
4:13PM Sunpower beats by $0.13, beats on revs; guides FY09 EPS in-line, revs in-line (SPWRA) : Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.70 per share, $0.13 better than the First Call consensus of $0.57; revenues rose 78.7% year/year to $401 mln vs the $396.8 mln consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for FY09, sees EPS of $2.20-2.80, ex items vs. $2.66 consensus; sees FY09 revs of $1.6-2.0 bln vs. $1.89 bln consensus. "Long-term solar market fundamentals remain in place and we are encouraged by the commitment to renewable energy by President Obama and Congressional leadership," continued Werner. "Given these factors, we are well positioned to take advantage of growing global demand for solar this year and in the future, despite uncertainty in today's economic and credit environment."
8:50AM Helmerich & Payne beats by $0.26, beats on revs (HP) 24.83 : Reports Q1 (Dec) earnings of $1.35 per share, excluding $0.01 in non-recurring items, $0.26 better than the First Call consensus of $1.09; revenues rose 36.6% year/year to $623.8 mln vs the $573.2 mln consensus. The significant increase as compared to the prior quarter was mostly driven by higher average revenue and margins per rig day during this year's first quarter. Average revenue per day rose by $2,032 over the previous quarter to $27,066, and average rig margin per day rose by $1,657 over the previous quarter to $14,820. Co says, "Exploration and production companies are currently being very aggressive about reducing their drilling plans in the near term, responding to the double blow of depressed energy prices and dysfunctional credit markets. Given the speed and severity of the current pullback, it is difficult to predict when supply and demand will return to a better balance. Until then, customers seem to be waiting to see where commodity prices stabilize before making final determinations concerning this year's spending plans."
8:07AM Illinois Tool beats by $0.06, reports revs in-line; guides Q1 EPS below consensus; guides FY09 EPS in-line (ITW) : Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.54 per share, $0.06 better than the First Call consensus of $0.48; revenues fell 5.9% year/year to $3.68 bln vs the $3.67 bln consensus. Co issues downside guidance for Q1, sees EPS of $0.26-$0.42 vs. $0.47 consensus. The 1Q09 forecast assumes a total company revenue range of -17% to -11%. Co issues in-line guidance for FY09, sees EPS of $1.84-$2.48 vs. $2.35 consensus. Co states, The full-year forecast assumes a total company revenue range of -12% to -6%. Briefing Note: This would equate to a range of approx $13.97-$14.92 bln vs $14.72 bln.
8:04AM Kennametal misses by $0.01, misses on revs; guides Q3 EPS below consensus; guides FY09 EPS below consensus (KMT) 18.69 : Reports Q2 (Dec) earnings of $0.35 per share, $0.01 worse than the First Call consensus of $0.36; revenues fell 12.1% year/year to $569 mln vs the $579.7 mln consensus. Co issues downside guidance for Q3, sees EPS of $0.05-0.15 vs. $0.40 consensus. Co issues downside guidance for FY09, sees EPS of $1.30-1.50 vs. $1.89 consensus. Organic sales for fiscal 2009 are expected to be 14-15% lower than for the previous fiscal year.
7:42AM Cash America misses by $0.03, beats on revs; reaffirms FY09 EPS guidance (CSH) 19.75 : Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.74 per share, excluding restructuring and severance charges, $0.03 worse than the First Call consensus of $0.77; revenues rose 7.1% year/year to $279.7 mln vs the $274.3 mln consensus. Co reaffirms guidance as announced on Jan 22 for FY09, sees EPS of 3.10-3.30 vs. $3.08 consensus. Mgmt enters the first quarter of fiscal 2009 without the earnings attributable to certain markets for its cash advance product that added significant incremental profitability in fiscal 2008. Mgmt has estimated that the net effect of lost earnings due to changes in and the elimination of cash advance markets during 2008 equates to $20 to $25 mln after taxes on an annualized basis (between 66 and 83 cents per share). Mgmt believes that growth in its existing and new markets for its cash advance product will combine with growth from its pawn lending business and will overcome this decrease in contribution but not until the second half of 2009. While mgmt believes that the demand for its credit products will remain intact in 2009, it feels there is a likelihood it will experience higher loan losses associated with the difficult consumer economic environment and it expects pressure on retail margins to support sales activities during the year. Co says, "We experienced an increase in loss rates early in the quarter within our online cash advance portfolio reversing a trend of lower loss rates through September. While we were disappointed by this change, we believe that we have addressed it appropriately and we are still within an acceptable range for this line of business."
7:36AM Alliant Tech beats by $0.04, misses on revs; guides FY09 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus; guides FY10 EPS below consensus, revs in-line (ATK) : Reports Q3 (Dec) earnings of $1.96 per share, $0.04 better than the First Call consensus of $1.92; revenues rose 5.2% year/year to $1.11 bln vs the $1.14 bln consensus. Co issues downside guidance for FY09, sees EPS of $7.40-7.50 vs. $7.56 consensus; sees FY09 revs of $4.5 bln (previously expected $4.55) vs. $4.55 bln consensus. ATK continues to expect full-year FY09 operating margins to be approximately 10.5 percent, with free cash flow of approximately $260 million. Co issues mixed guidance for FY10, sees EPS of $7.75-7.95 vs. $8.36 consensus; sees FY10 revs of $4.55-4.65 bln vs. $4.87 bln consensus. ATK expects to generate free cash flow in the range of $130 million to $150 million, which includes the impact of making the $150 million prepayment contribution to the company's pension plans, and approximately $120 million of capital expenditures
7:34AM Celgene beats by $0.01, reports revs in-line; guides FY09 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus; co reports drug numbers (CELG) 52.20 : Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.43 per share, $0.01 better than the First Call consensus of $0.42; revenues rose 52.3% year/year to $623 mln vs the $621.7 mln consensus. Co issuesdownside guidance for FY09, sees EPS of $2.05-2.15 vs. $2.18 consensus; sees FY09 revs of $2.6-2.7 bln vs. $2.85 bln consensus. Q4 Drug sales: Revlimid $369 mln vs. $371.2 mln First Call Consensus; Thalomid $126.8 mln vs. $132.9 mln First Call Consensus; Vidaza $69.7 mln vs. $70.6 mln First Call Consensus; Alkeran $24.4 mln vs. $19.8 mln First Call Consensus.
7:34AM CONSOL Energy beats by $0.34, reports revs in-line (CNX) 28.94 : Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.97 per share, $0.34 better than the First Call consensus of $0.63; revenues rose 35.3% year/year to $1.24 bln vs the $1.24 bln consensus. Because of uncertainties surrounding the U.S. and global economies, CONSOL Energy plans to adopt a cautious approach to capital expenditures and cash management, and therefore is altering its usual practice of issuing annual capital expenditure and production projections. Co expects to limit capital spending in the early part of the year in order to retain the ability to adjust spending to prevailing economic conditions. Furthermore, co expects to continue expenditures on projects, such as overland belt projects or longwall face extensions. However, the CNX doesn't expect to commit the entire authorized capital budget for coal until it has a clearer understanding of the state of the economy and demand for coal.
7:18AM Dominion beats by $0.03, beats on revs; guides Q1 EPS below consensus; guides FY09 EPS in-line, FY10 above consensus (D) 35.69 : Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.72 per share, $0.03 better than the First Call consensus of $0.69; revenues rose 14.4% year/year to $4.17 bln vs the $3.51 bln consensus. Co issues downside guidance for Q1, sees EPS of $0.85-0.90 vs. $0.99 consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for FY09, sees EPS of $3.20-3.30 vs. $3.26 consensus. Sees 2010 EPS of $3.33-3.50 vs $3.31 consensus . Assuming a return to normal economic conditions, we expect to again grow operating earnings per share 6 percent or more annually beginning in 2011. The increase in fourth-quarter 2008 operating earnings is primarily attributable to lower outage costs at the company's generating units; a lower effective tax rate; lower operating and maintenance expenses at the regulated electric utility; and higher contributions from the company's merchant generation business. These positives were partially offset by the exclusion of Peoples Natural Gas and Hope Gas, Inc. from operating earnings beginning in 2008.
7:18AM L-3 Comms beats by $0.10, beats on revs; guides FY09 EPS below consensus, revs in-line (LLL) 79.83 : Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $2.04 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.10 better than the First Call consensus of $1.94; revenues rose 5.4% year/year to $4.01 bln vs the $3.87 bln consensus. Co issues mixed guidance for FY09, sees EPS of $7.12-7.32 vs. $7.41 consensus (previous range $7.30-7.50); sees FY09 revs of $15.5-15.7 bln vs. $15.65 bln consensus (previous range $15.4-15.7 bln). Co estimates FY09 operating margin at 10.4% vs previous estimate of 10.7%. Co records funded Q408 orders of $4.3 bn vs $3.8 bln in Q407. Funded backlog increased 21% to $11.6 bln at Dec. 31, 2008 from $9.6 bln at Dec. 31, 2007.
7:12AM Textron beats by $0.05, misses on revs; guides FY09 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus (TXT) 13.30 : Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.40 per share, excluding a number of special charges, $0.05 better than the First Call consensus of $0.35; revenues rose 0.4% year/year to $3.61 bln vs the $3.68 bln consensus. Co issues downside guidance for FY09, sees EPS of $1.00-1.50, excluding restructuring charges of ~$40 mln, vs. $2.39 consensus; sees FY09 revs of $12.50 bln vs. $13.63 bln consensus. Co says, "Economic conditions continued to weaken during the fourth quarter, significantly impacting our Industrial and TFC businesses; however, for the year, we had strong performance at Bell, Cessna and Textron Systems... Economic conditions continued to weaken during the fourth quarter, significantly impacting our Industrial and TFC businesses. However, for the year, we had strong performance at Bell, Cessna and Textron Systems. Combined backlog at Cessna, Bell and Textron Systems was $23.2 billion at the end of the fourth quarter, up $4.4 billion from the end of last year."
7:08AM Raytheon beats by $0.02, reports revs in-line; guides FY09 EPS in-line, revs in-line (RTN) 49.67 : Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $1.13 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.02 better than the First Call consensus of $1.11; revenues rose 2.6% year/year to $6.16 bln vs the $6.21 bln consensus. Co issues in-line guidance for FY09, sees EPS of $4.45-4.60, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $4.57 consensus; sees FY09 revs of $24.3-24.8 bln vs. $24.68 bln consensus (unchanged from 10/08 guidance). Co ended FY08 with a backlog of $38.9 bln, up 6% compared to $36.6 bln at end of 2007.
7:06AM Zimmer Hldgs reports EPS in-line, misses on revs; guides FY09 EPS below consensus (ZMH) 43.05 : Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $1.00 per share, in-line with the First Call consensus of $1.00; revenues fell 4.0% year/year to $1.03 bln vs the $1.09 bln consensus. Co issues downside guidance for FY09, sees EPS of $3.85-4.00 vs. $4.23 consensus. The Company expects full-year revenues for 2009 to increase between 1% and 3% on a constant currency basis, with revenues anticipated to be flat in the first half of the year and improving thereafter. Assuming foreign currency exchange rates remain near year-end 2008 levels, the Company estimates that foreign currency translation will reduce revenue by approximately 4% for the full year 2009. Adjusted diluted earnings per share are expected to show negative growth in the first three quarters with positive growth in the fourth quarter.
6:48AM AutoNation beats by $0.01, misses on revs (AN) 9.24 : Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.12 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.01 better than the First Call consensus of $0.11; revenues fell 33.9% year/year to $2.74 bln vs the $3.06 bln consensus. Co said, "We agree with industry projections that the 2009 SAAR will be in the range of 11 million new vehicle units with obvious weakness in the first half of the year. In this environment, we believe we will be able to manage within all financial covenants." The Company also announced that it has obtained consents under its framework agreements with manufacturers in order to eliminate any potentially adverse consequences under such agreements in the event that ESL Investments, Inc., the Company's largest stockholder, were to acquire over 50% of the Company's common stock. ESL currently owns approximately 45% of the Company's outstanding common stock.